The race did unfold as we thought it would
with the exception of Destin not
being able to hold on for the win!
With the lack of pace in the race, until Gettysburg was a late entry, and the large number of "from the back of the pack" Closers entered, we felt that the Pletcher duo and Exaggerator had the best shot at winning the race!
Even with the late entry of the "Rabbit", we felt that Destin and Exaggerator wouls have the advantage and as such we made Destin our Top pick to win the Belmont Stakes.
As the race unfolded Destin was the main presser to the "Rabbit". We thought it would be the other Pletcher runner Stradivari. Exaggerator was racing up closer to the pace setters just as we expected. He just could not handle the distance after running in all 3 Triple Crown races. That was not a big surprise!
Lani, the only other runner that participated in all 3 races, closed well again to finish a very good 3rd only beaten 2 3/4 lengths. We expected him to have another big showing as his pedigree said distance no problem.
Even the 4th place finisher, "New Shooter" Governor Malibu, ran a very credible race have to pull back and change course because the "Rabbit" faded back into his path. We also felt that Governor Malibu would run a very good race.
What we did not count on was Creator being able to get up in time to grab the win! We did feel that he had a very good chance for finishing in the money. A lot of times when a "Rabbit" is entered to help setup the race for his stable mate, it is because his stable mate just is not good enough to get the win.
Well in Creator's case it was just enough help for him to be able to grab victory away from Destin!
We explained in our Picks that our biggest
concern with Exaggerator
was his pedigree because his Dosage Index was over 3.00 at 3.80 and the
average for the 1 1/2 Mile distance is 2.50. He also does not have the
"X-Chromosome" Large-Heart" trait!
We did feel that the Belmont Stakes winner would be an upset and we felt that it would be Destin. Destin got beat by the smallest of margins, the hair of Creators nose!
In our selections we
made Destin our A1
Pick) and Exaggerator A2 horse (the one to beat).
Our B and C horses were Governor Malibu, Brody's Cause, Stradivari, Lani , Creator and Trojan Nation.
We had 6 of the top 6 across the finish line and we did not use the "Wise Guy" horse Suddenbreakingnews that got bet down to 5-1 odds and ran 9th.
In our wager recommendations we Keyed Destin and Exaggerator on top and in the middle of the Trifecta and Superfecta bets..
playing a Win / Place wager along with Exacta using Destin
on the bottom of the Field. Destin paid $9.40 for the Place and $269
for the Exacta.
It is now 25 of the past 32 years that the Belmont Stakes Favorite has LOST!
In our Full Card Selections:
We had (6) Exacta winners in the 13 races. They were: Race 1 ($102.00), Race 3 ($40.80), Race 4 ($80.00), Race 7 ($421.00), Race 10 ($18.20) and Race 11 ($269.00).
Total - $931.00 for $2 wagers.
Cashed in on (3) Trifectas - Race 1 ($103.75), Race 3 ($45.75) and Race 10 ($54.50).
Total - $204.00 for $1 wagers.
We also cashed in on (2) Superfectas in Race 1 ($217.00) and Race 3 ($70.25).
Total - $287.25 in $1 wagers
(7) Daily Doubles, Race 2 ($13.40), Race 3 ($6.80), Race 4 ($16.40), Race 5 ($26.00), Race 6 ($101.75), Race 9 ($46.75) and Race 10 ($6.90).
Total - $218.00 for $1 wager.
We hit on (4) Pick 3 wagers in Race 3 ($47.50), Race 4 ($43.25), Race 7 ($672.50) and Race 10 ($86.75).Total - $850.00 in $1 wagers
Grand Total Won - $2,490.25.
We had 9 of 13 winners in our Top 4 selections with (2) as our Top pick.
The track was rated Fast ALL day as there were ONLY (3) Favorites and (1) second Favorites Winning in the 13 races on the card. The average Win payoff in the (13) races was a Nice $13.14 ....
Congratulations to Ameican Pharoah - Triple Crown Winner!
American Pharoah Crowned Champion - Triple Crown Champion!
Wins Belmont Stakes Like it was Just Another Race!
Before a sold out crowd of 90,000 history seeking horse racing fans, American Pharoah gave them what they came to see! A Triple Crown winner, the first in 37 years!
As the crowd roared, the starting gates opened and American Pharoah took the lead and never looked back! Materiality came out with him and they ran 1-2 for the first mile when Materiality began to fade. Frosted moved up and took on the challenge of catching him in the final 1/4 Mile but just when it looked like he might pass him, American Pharoah pulled away to win by 5 1/2 lengths!
Keen Ice edged out Mubtaahij (IRE) for 3rd whom had been in contention the entire race.
American Pharoah win the race like a Triple Crown Champion should ... easily by open lengths!
Trainer Bob Baffert final got the Crown in his 4th try and it was well deserved!
It was jockey Victor Espinoza's third attempt at taking down the crown, 2nd with Baffert, and just as he did in the first two legs, he gave him a perfect ride.
It has been 37 long years waiting on the next Triple Crown champion and just when most of us had given up, American Pharoah proved that it still could done!
He is now in the racing
history books as just the 12th Triple Crown Champion.
American Pharoah was able do what no other horse has been able to do for the past 37 years, win ALL 3 of the Triple Crown races. It truly is one of the most difficult feats in sports to achieve! 3 races at 3 different tracks at 3 different distances over 5 week time period as a 3-year old!
Again the race did not unfold as we thought it would. We felt that Materiality would take it to American Pharoah from the start and see if he could catch him and wear him down.
But jockey Velazquez decided that the best tactic would be follow him and that played into Espinoza's hands as he took the lead from the gate, slowed it down a little and then let him go when they came out of the final turn!
Result American Pharoah was never really pressured and was able to win easily by 5 1/2 lengths.
We did feel that American Pharoah was obviously the horse to beat and that the field was setting up for him with only 7 other runners participating! We felt that Materiality had the best chance of pressuring him as he was a front runner and had the highest Beyer speed rating in the field. But Materiality's connections did not see it that way!
With the last 13 attempts at taking down the Triple Crown ALL failing and American Pharoah being odds-on favorite we felt it was only a 60/40 chance for him to win and so we handicapped the race as though he would not win but finish in-the-money!
We explained how we felt that his Dosage Index was far too high for getting 1 1/2 Mile distance of the Belmont Stakes. His is 4.33 the average for winning at this distance is 2.50. Kudos to him for being able to out run his pedigree weakness. He has proven that he is a Top quality thoroughbred and he earned his wins in the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont Stakes!
If he was to get beat, we felt that Materiality (speed horse) and Keen Ice (best closer) would have the best shot. However, when Materiality decided to rate instead of lead his race was over. Keen Ice did run well as he got up for 3rd.
In our selections we made Materiality our A1 horse (Top
Our B and C horses were American Pharoah, Madefromlucky, Keen Ice and Frammento.
Again it was a surprise that the odds on American Pharoah were not lower. I thought he would be much lower than 4-5. He paid $3.50 to the Win as the favorite in a small 8 horse field with a Triple Crown on the line! Just amazing as I was expecting something more like $2.80!
With the 2nd favorite running 2nd, the payouts for the Trifecta and Superfecta were not terrible as you could have Keyed American Pharoah on Top with ALL in the 2nd - 3rd and 4th spots in the Trifecta and Superfecta and you still would have shown a profit!
In our Full Card Selections:
We had (5) Exacta winners in our Top 4 picks. Race 2 ($81.50), Race 4 ($158.50), Race 5 ($13.20), Race 6 ($39.00) and Race 9 ($54.00).
Total - $346.20 for $2 wagers.
Cashed in on (4) Trifectas - Race 4 ($392.50), Race 5 ($38.00), Race 6 ($81.50) and Race 9 ($145.00).
Total - $657.00 for $1 wagers.
We also cashed in on (3) Superfecta. Race 4 ($1,314.50), Race 5 ($97.50) and Race 9 ($1,016.50).
Total - $2,428.50 in $1 wagers
(5) Daily Doubles, Race 5 ($98.00), Race 6 ($22.00), Race 7 ($71.50), Race 12 ($36.60) and Race 13 ($139.00).
Total - $367.10 for $2 wager.
Hit (2) Pick 3s in Race 6 ($283.50) and Race 7 ($99.50).
Total - $383.00 in $1 wagers.
Grand Total Won - $4,181.18.
We had 9 of 13 winners in our Top 4 selections.
Our Best Longshot in Race 4 won and paid $23.60 for the Win.
The track was rated FAST & FIRM ALL day as there were only (2) Winning Favorites and (4) second Favorites Winning in the 13 races on the card. The average Win payoff in the (13) races was a very nice $15.38 ....
It certainly has been a very exciting year for the Triple Crown Series races and to finally have a Champion for the history books is one we will never forget!
Congratulations to Tonalist in Winning the Belmont Stakes!
.... Down Goes Chrome, Down Goes Chrome!
|1||Medal Count||R. Albarado||$13.20|
|$2.00 Exacta (11-8)||$348.00|
|$2.00 Trifecta (11-8-1)||$6,781.00|
|$1.00 Superfecta (11-8-1-2)||$3,808.80|
|$1.00 Superfecta (11-8-1-9)||$5,733.50|
|$2.00 Daily Double (8-11)||$116.00|
|$1.00 Pick3 (1-8-11)||$144.25|
|$1.00 Pick4 (5-1/6-8-11)||$212.65|
|$2.00 Pick6 (5-1-5-1/6-8-11)||$90,671.00|
Our Belmont Stakes & Full Card Picks Results:
California Chrome was our top selection to win the Belmont Stakes and become our 12th Triple Crown winner and the first in 36 years. In our analysis we felt that the (5) lines of possible inheritance of the "X-Chromosome" pedigree of War Admiral and/or Mahmoud is what was providing him with the "Natural Speed" he had shown in the Santa Anita Derby, Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes would again carry him to victory in leg 3 of the Triple Crown series!
We did not feel that it would be easy and that fellow KY Derby runner Medal Count had the best shot of upsetting him! Medal Count (25-1) did run a very good race coming in 3rd behind the winner Tonalist (9-1) and 2nd place Commissioner (28-1) with California Chrome and Wicked Strong dead-heating for 4th.
California Chrome did have bad racing luck at the start of the race when the #3 horse Matterhorn stomped on his front foot and Chrome suffered a grabbed-quarter that took off the rear part off his hoof. At some point in the race, you have to feel that it did have some sort of effect on him.
We did not feel that California Chrome would finish any worst that 2nd or 3rd and that the KY Derby runners would have the best shot at upsetting him. We felt that Tonalist just did not have enough racing foundation for him to go 1 1/2 mile distance of the Belmont Stakes! We were wrong on that.
So California Chrome becomes the 13th Triple Crown attempt to go down since the last TC Winner 36 years ago. As we said previously, "Stuff" just happens in the Belmont Stakes!
In our Full Card Selections:
We had (9) of the (13) winners in our Top 4 selections with (3) of them as our Top Pick and hit on 2 of our 4 Best Bets including Bayern ($20.40 in Race 5!
Hit (7) Exacta in our Top 4 picks. Race 2 ($32.20), R3 ($81.00), R4 ($51.50), R7 ($19.40), R9 ($29.60), R12 ($40.80) and R13 ($54.00).
Total - $308.60 for $2 wagers.
Hit (3) $1 Trifectas in R2 ($42), R7 ($86) and R12 ($110).
Total - $238 for $1 wagers.
Had (3) $1 Superfectas in R1 ($430), R2 ($129) and R7 ($125)!
Total - $684 for $1 wagers.
We also cashed (6) $2 Daily Doubles, Race 2 ($43.20), Race 3 ($97.50), Race 4 ($146.00), Race 5 ($122.00), Race 9 ($38.60) and R13 ($28.40).
Total - $475.70 for $2 wager.
Hit (3) $1 Pick 3 in R3 ($256), R4 ($338) and R5 ($659).
Total - $1,253 in $1 wagers.
Hit (1) $1 Pick 4 in R5 ($3,509).
Total - $3,509 in $1 wagers.
Grand Total Won - $6,468.30.
There were ONLY (3) winning Favorites as well as (2) winning 2nd Favorites in the 13 races on the day's card. The average Win payoff in the (13) races was very good $12.58
Next up is the Breeders' Cup Championships - Oct. 31 - Nov. 1 ......
Congratualations to Mike Smith and Todd Pletcher as they beat the Preakness winner Oxbow and Kentucky Derby winner ORB in an exciting edition of the Belmont Stakes!
Early speed was holding most of the day on the muddy track and that held true in the Belmont Stakes (even though the track was upgraded to fast) as Oxbow ran on the front end with Frac Daddy, Freedom Child and Palace Malice. while ORB was racing in the back of the pack.
They were setting fast fractions up front for the first mile and them Frac Daddy and Freedom Child began to fade while Oxbow and Palace Malice continued on. The closers ORB and and the late charging Incognito just could not make up enough ground to catch them in the final 1/4 mile.
The final 1/4 mile times were slow but Oxbow and Palace Malice had enough of a lead over the field that they were really never threatened as Palace Malice was able to pass Oxbow to win at 14-1 odds!
What a change taking the blinkers off of Palace Malice after having tried them in the Kentucky Derby when he set unbelievable fast fractions and then faded to 12th. Jockey Mike Smith said after the Derby that he could not get a hold of him and he took off.
Well jockey Mike Smith was able to control his speed in the Belmont and certainly taking the blinkers off was the right move!
So again we ended up with (3) differnt winners in each leg of the Triple Crown. In fact it was the 6th time in the last 8 years that it has happened!
The NEW faces that joined the Derby runners finished 4th - 6th - 12th - 13th.
|12||Palace Malice||M. Smith||$29.60||$11.20||$6.70|
||I. Ortiz Jr.||-|
|$2.00 Exacta (12-7)||$323.50|
|$2.00 Trifecta (12-7-5)||$931.00|
|$2.00 Superfecta (12-7-5-6)||$20,602.00|
Total - $329.90 for $2 wagers.
We hit (4) Trifectas in R5 ($353), R6 ($79), R7 ($58) and R10 ($28).
Total - $518 for $1 wagers.
Cashed in on (1) Superfecta in R9 ($1,010).
Total $1,010 for $1 wager.
Total - $517 for $2 wagers.
Total - $291 for $1 wagers.
Union Rags rallied on the rail to get through in time to nip pace setter Paynter at the wire!
It was a big win for Union Rags since his last 2 races were big disappointments. He showed that he may be as good of a horse that he showed last year when winning the Champagne Stakes over this track and running a very good 2nd in last year's Breeders Cup Juvenile!
The big improvement can be attributed to the jockey switch from Leparoux to local top jock John Velazquez. Johnny V. looked like Calvin Borel taking skimming the rail down the lane to win!
After the race Hall of Fame jockey Mike Smith, rider of Paynter, said he screwed up by letting the rail open for Union Rags to come through.
Trainer Bob Baffert, owner Ahmed Zayat and jockey Mike Smith placed 2nd in ALL 3 legs of the Triple Crown with Bodemeister in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness and now with Paynter in the Belmont Stakes!
Race Replay of the 144th Belmont Stakes:
|3||Union Rags||J. Velazquez||$7.50||$4.20||$3.40|
|1||Street Life||J. Lezcano|
|$2.00 Exacta (3-9)||$31.40|
|$2.00 Trifecta (3-9-4)||$496.80|
|$2.00 Superfecta (3-9-4-1)||$1,906.00|
|$2.00 Brooklyn/Bel (10-3)||$29.60|
|$2.00 Daily Double (4-3)||$48.40|
|$2.00 Pick 3 (6-4-3)||$192.00|
|$2.00 Pick 4 (1-6-4-3)||$1,283.00|
|$2.00 Pick 6 (6-7-1-6-4-3)||$15,050.00|
... and to Trainer Kelly Breen on getting his 1st Triple Crown race winner!
Another Shocker in the Belmont Stakes!
Ruler On Ice raced in 2nd pressing the pacesetter Shackleford over a Sloppy/Sealed track, taking the lead at the top of the stretch.
Second place finisher Stay Thirsty ran in 3rd most of the way around the 1 1/2 mile track and finished ONLY 3/4 of a length behind the winner!
The favorite, Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom finished in 6th place after having a horrific start when he was bumped into by Mucho Macho Man which caused the jockey John Velazquez to loose his left iron and almost fall of the horse. It took him into the 1st turn for him to regain control of the left iron. By this time Animal Kingdom lost all chances of winning the race.
After running in last place for the first
half mile, he did put in a strong effort to get up for a 6th place
finish behind Preakness Stakes winner Shackleford in 5th!
The last time the post time favorite won the "Test of Champions" was in 2005 when Afleet Alex won. Since then the winner has paid $14.40 (Jazil), $10.60 (Rags to Riches), $79.00 (Da'Tara), $25.80 (Summer Bird), $28.00 (Drosselmeyer) and Ruler On Ice - $51.50.
The final time in the 1 1/2 Mile race was a decent 2:30.88. It was run over a Sloppy/Sealed track as were all of the dirt races on the card.
The sloppy track did have an affect on how the race was run. All day long in the dirt races, early speed was holding. ALL day long.
The jockeys saw this just as we all saw how no one could close and catch the front speed. This resulted in the jocks not wanting to leave Shackleford on the front end by himself. And the didn't!
Ruler On Ice, Stay Thirsty, Santiva and Nehro were ALL pressing Shackleford around the track.
Shackleford led for the first 1 1/4 mile before he gave it up to the 2 runners behind him, Ruler On Ice and Stay Thirsty!
Third place finisher Brilliant Speed was the ONLY
runner that was able to make up ground on the leaders as he finished 2
1/4 lengths behind the winner after having raced in 9th and 7th place
for the first 1 mile of the race.
It was discovered in the days after the race that Animal Kingdom suffered a leg injury and that it would require surgery thus ending his summer racing campaign. He came out of the surgery in good shape and should be able to make it back to the races in the fall.
|3||Ruler On Ice||J. Valdivia Jr.||$51.50||$26.00||$13.60|
|2||Stay Thirsty||J.J. Castellano||$19.40||$10.80|
||Brilliant Speed||Joel Rosario||$7.90|
|$2.00 Exacta (3-2)||$928.00|
|$2.00 Trifecta (3-2-5)||$8,268.00|
|$2.00 Superfecta (3-2-5-6)||$74,052.00|
Watch Video Race Replay Belmont Stakes - Ruler On Ice Upsets!
... and to Trainer Bill Mott on getting his 1st Triple Crown race winner!
Another Upset in the Belmont Stakes!
Drosselmeyer came from off the pace to catch the front running First Dude and Game on Dude inside the sixteenth pole to win by 3/4 of a length while holding off the fast closing Fly Down!
The favorite Ice Box finished a
disappointing 9th. Later it was discovered that he displaced his palate
during the race.
Fly Down and First Dude were co-second favorites.
The last time the post time favorite won the "Test of Champions" was in 2005 when Afleet Alex won. Since then the winner has paid $14.40 (Jazil), $10.60 (Rags to Riches), $79.00 (Da'Tara), $25.80 (Summer Bird) and Drosselmeyer - $28.00.
The final time in the 1 1/2 Mile race was a slow 2:31.57. It was the slowest since 1995 when Thunder Gulich won.
Again, I think this
is evident of this years' 3-year old crop of runners being a grade
below what we normally see in the Triple Crown series! But it was a
very competive group of runners.
Uptowncharleybrown ran a very good 5th but was disqualified to last when it was discover that he lost an 8lb. saddle weight during the race. Derby 4th place finisher Make Music for Me who finished a disappointing 10th had lost a shoe early in the race.
Drosselmeyer's victory gave trainer Bill Mott his FIRST Triple Crown series race winner. Mott has been a top trainer for many years and is truly one of the good guys in horse racing!
Owners WinStar Farms, who also owns the Derby winner Super Saver, made a BIG jockey change to Hall of Famer Mike Smith dropping Kent Desormeaux who had ridden Drosselmeyer in 6 of his 8 previous races.. It proved to be the CORRECT move!
Trainer Bob Baffert mad a similar move with Lookin at Lucky to win the Preakness Stakes!
Trainer Nick Zito again figured in the outcome of the Belmont Stakes as he trained the 2nd place finisher Fly Down as well as the favorite Ice Box. He always seems to either have the Belmont upset winner or an in-the-money runner. This year he had an in-the-money runner in ALL 3 legs of the Triple Crown series with Ice Box 2nd in the Derby, Jackson Bend 3rd in the Preakness and Fly Down in the Belmont. Not a bad year!!
|5||Fly Down||J. Velazquez||$6.80||$5.10|
||First Dude||E. Dominguez||$4.90|
|$2.00 Exacta (7-5)||$144.50|
|$2.00 Trifecta (7-5-11)||$766.00|
|$2.00 Superfecta (7-5-11-8)||$10,658.00|
Watch Video Race Replay Belmont Stakes - Drosselmeyer Upsets!
It Was a Battle of the Birds
Another Belmont Stakes Favorite goes down to defeat!
Just as quickley as Mine That Bird took the lead in the far trun, Summer Bird came from mid-pack to take the lead at the eight pole to win going away from the tiring Dunkirk and Mine That Bird!
Jockey Calvin Borel showed his inexperience at racing on the Belmont track by making his move on the far turn to take the lead prematurely.
The Belmont track is know as "Big Sandy" because of the big wide sweeping turns. It is almost always a kiss-of-death when a horse is asked to go wide in the turn to make his move for the lead because how much more distance he has to cover to get to the lead!
They will usually run out of gas at the eight pole as Mine That Bird did. Calvin also made a BIG mistake by not taking any mounts on the undercard. It would have given him some valuable experience at handling the "Big Sandy" turns.
Summer Bird finished a respectable 6th in the Kentucky Derby when making a big run on the far turn closing ground on the leaders. However his going 7 wide took too much out of him to finish any better.
To show how much a horse can improve with equipment changes, trainer Tim Ice put blinkers on Summer Bird after the Kentucky Derby to try to get the horse to focus more.
Summer Bird's connections decided to ship him to Belmont Park 3 weeks prior to the race to give him some extra experience working over the "Big Sandy" surface. His first workout over the surface was not a very good one as the horse seemed to be spinning his wheels on the surface. So trainer Ice added toe grabs to his hind shoes.
The result was a big win at 11-1 odds in the 3rd Leg of the Triple Crown series and an upset of the Kentucky Derby winner Mine That Bird!
Summer Bird became the 1st horse since 1933 to come from 4th or worst at the top of the stretch to win the Belmont Stakes!
Summer Bird and Mine That Bird were both first crop colts of the 2004 Belmont Stakes UPSET winner Birdstone at 36-1 odds.
Summer Bird ran the Belmont Stakes in a time of 2:27 2/5. The same exact time that Birdstone beat Smarty Jones in and stopped his Triple Crown attempt!
Birdstone's will become even more popular in the breeding barn after his 2 son's Triple Crown wins!
This year's Triple Crown series was a very exciting one with the 50-1 shot Mine That Bird winning the Belmont Stakes, the 1st Filly, Rachel Alexandra, to win the Preakness Stakes in 85 years and Summer Bird's upset win in the Belmont Stakes.
In our Belmont Stakes Picks we did feel that Mine That Bird would win the race but he would be in-the-money.
We felt that Chocalate Candy would be the UPSET winner because of the amount of training time in had over the Belmont surface and the fact that he was really liking the surface in his morning works.
We stated in our picks that Dunkirk and Mine That Bird were the 2 horses to beat. We just did not select Summer Bird as the likely upset winner!
Because of how strongly we felt that Dunkirk and Mine That Bird were the 2 horses to beat and that we thought there would be a upset in the race, we should have made a Trifecta wager with ALL on Top of those 2 horses. The ticket would have cost us $16 for $1 ticket!
On the entire 13 race Belmont Stakes Day racing card, our selections had 6 Winners as our Top pick with 4 other winners as our 2nd pick. Including 2 Best Bets and 1 Longshot plays.
Win payoffs were $6.80, $4.20(BB), $9.70, $3.80(BB), $9.20, $22.40(BLS) for top selections.
We hit 9 of the 13 Exata(s), 2 Trifectas and 2 Daily Double.
Exata payoffs were $20.45, $22.80, $108.00, $87.50, $12.40, $46.60, $40.80, $90.50, and $151.00. for a TOTAL of $580.05 for $2 wagers.
The Trifecta payouts were $141.00 and $521.00 and the Daily Doubles paid $121.50 and $238.00 for a TOTAL of $1,021.50
2009 Belmont Stakes Results:.
|4||Summer Bird||K. Desormeaux||$25.80||$9.30||$4.70|
|7||Mine That Bird||C. Borel||$2.60|
|6||Charitable Man||A. Garcia|
|$2.00 Exacta (4-2)||$121.00|
|$2.00 Trifecta (4-2-7)||$295|
|$2.00 Superfecta (4-2-7-8)||$852|
2009 Belmont Stakes Video Replay - Summer Bird Upsets!!
Da' Tara UpSets at 38-1
Big Brown threw in a major dud finishing last in the Belmont Stakes as the 1-5 overwhelming favorite! It was obvious that entering the last turn that Big Brown did not have much left in the tank and jockey Kent Desormeaux pulled him up, prematurely I think, and thus finished last.
Da' Tara won in wire-to-wire fashion which is bascially impossible to do in the 1 1/2 Mile Belmont Stakes. No one really pressed Da' Tara on the front end ond as the ONLY Early Speed horse in the race he was able to steal the race winning easily by 5 1/4 lengths over Denis of Cork who wa sthe 2nd betting favorite in the race.
Trained by the King of Triple Crown spoiler, Nick Zito who also had 3rd place finisher Anak Nakal, Da' Tara became his trainer's 2nd Triple Crown Upsetter in 5 years. In 2004 he stopped Smarty Jones when Birdstone won at big odds.
When Casino Drive scratched out of the race it left Da' Tara as the ONLY Early Speed horse in the field. Da' Tara would not have won the Belmont Stakes if Casino Drive would have raced because he would have pressed Da' Tara which would have forced him to run harder longer. When Big Brown dropped out, Casino Ride would have still been there with Da' Tara!
The Triple Crown is one of the most difficult feats to accomplish in ALL of sports!
Big Brown became the 7th, since 1979, Odds-on Favorite to lose the Belmont Stakes!
For the 7th time in the past 12 years a Triple Crown attempt has failed! Smarty Jones (2004), Funny Cide (2003), War Emblem (2002), Charismatic (1999), Real Quiet (1998), Silver Charm (1997) and now Big Brown (2008).
Will we ever see another Triple Crown Winner?
It has now been 31 years since we had one!
With the Dead-Heat for 3rd place, we got the 3 Longest odds horses in the Top 4 finishers along with the 2nd post time favorite.
Denis of Cork (7-1) ran well to finish 2nd, 2 1/2 lengths in front of the (2) 3rd place runners Ready's Echo (28-1) and Anak Nakal (34-1).
In our Belmont Stakes Picks we did feel that Big Brown would win the race. However, we also told our readers that if he were to get beat, it would no doubt be one of Nick Zito's runners. (Da' Tara or Anak Nakal)!
We felt that the edge would go to Anak Nakal because of his running style and that Early Speed does not last in the 1 1/2 Mile distance of the Belmont Stake.
When Casino Drive scratched out of the race, we added Da' Tara to our Trifecta and Superfecta selections.
Anak Nakal was our Longshot Pick to upset Big Brown if he were to lose.
Well he did lose but we had the wrong Zito horse on Top. Anak Nakal did pay $7.60 to Show so we did make a little money on our across-the-board wager.
What we should have done on a Trifecta ticket was to play both of Zito's horses on Top and Bottom and ALL in the Middle. It would have cost us $14 for a $1 ticket. The payoff to us would have been $1,851.50.
We did have ALL 4 of the 1-2-3-4 finishers in our Trifecta and Superfecta tickets. We just did not use the Early Speed horse on Top of them.
the 2006 Belmont Stakes Winner